Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Napoleon’s Corporal's avatar

Solid breakdown. What stands out to me: this isn’t China reacting to a threat—it’s China shaping the environment. They’re not planning for conflict, they’re positioning for advantage.

That’s not a contingency mindset. That’s structural. And I don’t think our planners fully appreciate the shift. We’re still gaming scenarios like it’s 2010, while Beijing’s already playing for endstate.

Appreciate you pulling this apart—helps sharpen the lens.

Expand full comment

No posts